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7/10/2013

IHSG in wave 4, How Low can it go?

Seperti Tampak pada Gambar IHSG berada pada periodik wave 4, dalam skenario Bullish, syarat dari wave 4 adalah :
1.Wave four is typically clearly corrective. Prices may meander sideways for an extended period, and wave four typically retraces less than 38.2% of wave three (see Fibonacci relationships below). Volume is well below than that of wave three. This is a good place to buy a pull back if you understand the potential ahead for wave 5. Still, fourth waves are often frustrating because of their lack of progress in the larger trend.
2. Wave 4 does not overlap with the price territory of wave 1, except in the rare case of a diagonal triangle.

Analisis statistikal untuk wave 4:

1. Retrace 24-30% of Wave 3
only 15% of the time


2.Retrace between 30-50% of
Wave 3 60% of the time


3.Retrace between 50-62% of
Wave 3 15% of the time


4. More than 62% Retracement of Wave 3 = 10% of the time


menunjuk dengan data statistik di atas, potensi koreksi wave 4 adalah sekitar 30-50% retracement, dengan syarat wave 4 tidak boleh lebih rendah dari level 4.230. This is the bottom ?

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